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Throw Out Your 2015 Strategy and Budget Right Now

The arrival of a new year (and the beginning of a new one) brings a flurry of cognitive churning. As individuals, we 1/ reflect on the year passed, 2/ ritualistically write and read predictions for the next year, and 3/ make resolutions and set goals that are intended to inspire us to greatness during the next twelve months.

I’ve come to see this all as distinctly human but also quite strange. 1/ We can’t do anything about what happened in the past, and many of our “reflections” end up being revisionist history. 2/ The predictions we make – at least the most interesting of them – are almost invariably wrong, but we make them anyway as a way to either “exert control” on our world or to show others how smart we are. 3/ Resolutions simply <a
title=”Resolutions don’t work” href=”http://www.lifehack.org/articles/lifestyle/new-years-resolutions-dont-work-heres-why.html” target=”_blank”>don’t work. Most are actually a mild form of self-flagellation. We list the things we “should” do that we didn’t do during the last year as if beating ourselves up for not having done them will result in a desired behavior modification. My sense is that for most people, little good comes of this, yet we repeat the rituals annually.

Companies go through a similarly strange year-end rituals. In the case of companies, the effort is focused on strategic planning and budgeting. The same reflection on the prior year, prediction of future events and goal-setting ensues and in many cases, with equally predictable results. Companies that simply go through the motions often rationalize prior years results, 2/ Make unreliable and sometimes unfounded predictions about the future and 3/ Set goals and objectives that are “shoulds”, rather than will-full organizational commitments.

I’m in search of ways to have these individual and corporate year-end rituals be more productive. I don’t yet have all of the answers. On the corporate side of the ledger, I know that I’ve seen the strategic planning and budgeting process executed well and very poorly. It really comes down to how the strategic planning and budgeting process inform the Company’s direction during the following year. Getting it right takes patience and intention.

Patience Over Rigidity

Patience is critical. January 1st is one of 365 days we could have chosen to begin our tracking of earth’s orbit around the sun. There is nothing special about January 1st, yet we treat that date as if it is fundamentally different from December 31st, 2014. The whole planning and budgeting calendar gets calibrated around delivering an approved budget by the start of a the new year. There is some merit in having deadlines for sure. But I’ve also seen too many companies rush through the planning and budgeting process because of arbitrary deadlines. I’m not suggesting that the planning and budgeting process shouldn’t have a sense of urgency; they should. But lets not pretend that the arbitrary dates we set for the planning a budgeting cycle are fundamental at the expense of thoroughness and solidarity. A management team must spend a lot of time together before they can gel around a strategy, developing the buy-in that is necessary for unified action. The process or driving organizational alignment doesn’t always fit into or nice, neat planning calendars.

I’ve also seen many occasions where a management team tries to force a breakthrough during the strategic planning process. My experience is that breakthroughs don’t happen during formal planning processes; they happen organically when they happen. Breakthroughs are inherently unpredictable. Companies need to be open to breakthroughs occurring organically outside of the formal planning process, rather than trying to force them according to schedule.

Seeing the flaws in the formal, calendarized planning and budgeting ritual leads me to think of strategy and fiscal management as an every-day activity, not a once a year activity. Strategic planning should come out of its “off-site” conference room hiding place and into the light of the every-day discussions between the members of a management team. When strategy is an every-day activity, the planning process becomes about tweaks and alignment rather than major breakthroughs.When strategy is brought into every-day discussions, there is no need for a forced breakthrough during a scheduled planning season.

The same goes for budgeting. Budgeting is worthwhile because it forces companies to think about resource allocation, that resource allocation needing to be aligned with a strategy. But budgets are of little predictive value. This is why I vastly prefer twelve month rolling forecasts, updated monthly. It is taboo to call each new monthly forecast a budget, but it is also incredibly constructive to take a renewed look at resource allocation every single month throughout the year. After all, there is no way your budget can account for everything that will happen (both within and outside your control) throughout the next twelve months.

I’ve seen too many cases where the budget becomes the numerical representation of the script. The rigidity of the traditional strategy and budgeting process can actually be counter-productive, creating a box that makes it difficult for a management team to navigate the year in a flexibly opportunistic fashion. It is hard to stay true to an intention when the numbers have you in a box.

Intention over Tactics

<span
style=”line-height: 1.5;”>Intention is hard to describe but easy to identify; but I increasingly feel it is imperative in both a corporate and personal setting. It’s akin to purpose. Some of the best descriptions of intention come from mindfulness practice. Deepak Chopra’s describes intention as follows:

<span
style=”color: #333333;”>Intention is the starting point of every dream… Everything that happens in the universe begins with intention… An intention is a directed impulse of consciousness that contains the seed form of that which you aim to create.

Powerful stuff. I want some of that in my day-to-day personal life and embedded in every company in which I’m an investor. Imagine what would be possible if a management team went into every work day with alignment on “a directed impulse that contains the seed form of that which you aim to create.”

The formal strategic planning literature would probably refer to this as <a
title=”strategic intent” href=”https://hbr.org/2005/07/strategic-intent” target=”_blank”>strategic intent, popularlized by Hamel and Prahalad:

Companies that have risen to global leadership over the past 20 years invariably began with ambitions that were out of all proportion to their resources and capabilities. But they created an obsession with winning at all levels of the organization and then sustained that obsession over the 10- to 20-year quest for global leadership. We term this obsession “strategic intent.”

At the same time, strategic intent is more than simply unfettered ambition. (Many companies possess an ambitious strategic intent yet fall short of their goals.) The concept also encompasses an active management process that includes focusing the organization’s attention on the essence of winning, motivating people by communicating the value of the target, leaving room for individual and team contributions, sustaining enthusiasm by providing new operational definitions as circumstances change, and using intent consistently to guide resource allocations.

What I like about strategic intent is that offers a clear statement of purpose for an organization without delving into the specific tactics that should be employed to achieve that purpose. But it is very hard for an organization to keep its attention on purpose, allowing the tactics to evolve as necessitated by circumstances. But rigidity in tactics is a death-knell in fast-moving markets. And this is the core of my beef with traditional strategic planning; I’ve seen too many cases where strategic planning becomes tactics planning where each and every move to be executed by a company throughout the year is “scripted”. Scripting tactics might work in a 30-90 day window, but beyond that, it is a futile effort. Worse, it is damaging if a management team and/or board feel obligated to have the company follow the script despite changes in circumstances.

Alignment and Flexible Opportunism

I don’t have all the answers for how to build more patience and intention into the strategic planning and budgeting process. But I know the desired outcome. I want a process that results in the organization being aligned on a core sense of purpose and creates a platform for the organization to be flexibly opportunistic. I’m not convinced that traditional strategic planning and budgeting are the right tools for the job. And so my search for the right tools, both in my personal and corporate life goes on.

In the meantime, be purposeful and adaptable in 2015. No matter what your strategy and budget say, the year will end well if you and your organization are purposeful and adaptable each and every day throughout the year.

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After the honeymoon

Earlier this week, I participated in a panel discussion organized by Holland & Hart, a Denver-based law firm that has a strong practice area working with entrepreneurial growth-stage businesses. The topic of the panel was “After the Honeymoon”, focusing on investor/entrepreneur relationship dynamics in the critical period following the closing of an investment or acquisition transaction. Also on the panel with me were Matt Hicks of Excellere Partners and Flint Seaton, CFO of Accellos, an Accel-KKR backed business.

The discussion was principally focused on investor/entrepreneur relationships in the context of growth equity style investments. We had a wide-ranging discussion hitting on topics that included financial forecasting, strategic planning, executive team recruiting, and many others. Each of those specific areas matters a great deal. But no matter which element of the work that goes on between investors and entrepreneurs during the post-investment period the panel discussed, the conversation returned to two key concepts – alignment and trust. Alignment and trust set the tone for how investors and entrepreneurs work together. Investor/entrepreneur coordination works great when both are in place and poorly when either is not.

Alignment is a straightforward concept, the goal being to harmonize expectations between the investor and the entrepreneurs. But it doesn’t just happen. You don’t stick and investor and an entrepreneur in a room expecting that they are automatically “aligned”. Creating alignment takes work. Trust is a more nebulous concept. But suffice to say that once trust between an investor and an entrepreneur is violated, it is hard to recapture. There are more ways than you can count to violate trust.

So how does are investors and entrepreneurial management team’s supposed to derive alignment and trust? It is my strong opinion that if an entrepreneur is working to drive alignment and build trust with an investor (and vice-versa) after a transaction has closed, it is already too late. The time to begin working on the fundamental building blocks of a successful entrepreneur/investor relationship is before the transaction gets closed. The benefit… everyone knows what is expected of them day 1, day 30, day 100, … and there is no lag between the Company taking capital and management’s execution of an agreed to plan of attack.

We like to perform a strategic planning session with management teams we want to back before the investment closes. We expect that our management teams to use the results of the strategic planning to derive operating plans. We do this annually with each of our portfolio companies, but in the case of a new investment, we expect that the strategic plan be crystallized into a 30-60-90 day post investment execution plan before the investment closes. The benefit of going through this exercise (which is a lot of work for everyone) is that management and the investors know exactly what to expect of each other during the critical months following the investment. There is also a built-in trust builder baked into the pre-investment strategic planning process. It takes a lot of trust on the part of management to bring a prospective investor into the intimate thoughts of a management team, particularly when that planning is likely happening simultaneous with a diligence process. Teams that are willing/able to go into a strategic planning session with a prospective investor are saying, through their behavior… “I have nothing to hide. I’m comfortable expressing the good, bad and ugly about my business and you are going to want to invest despite having heard it all.” An investor that goes through that process with a management team and follows-through with the investment is saying… “I know about all of your imperfections; I acknowledge them and I love you despite them.”

Pre-investment strategic planning isn’t the only way to build alignment and trust between an investor and an entrepreneurial management team, but its a pretty darn good starting point. Investors and entrepreneurs need to lay the groundwork for alignment and trust before the closing of a new investment. Everything becomes easier with alignment and trust in place… If the right alignment and trust aren’t there, don’t proceed with the investment; that goes for both entrepreneurs and investors.

Thanks to Holland & Hart for hosting the event and to Matt and Flint for being great co-panelists. I had fun participating.

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